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Red50
498212.6
29215.9
150126.1
Blue53
394024.2
695614.7
46120.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494701001502005053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.4
23.123.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.8
End8.5
red by 1.9
3940
#10
24.20.3
14.414.7
Auto3.6
Teleop14.6
End6.0
Second
292
#19
15.90.4
12.012.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.9
blue by 4.3
461
#9
20.20.3
18.919.2
Auto2.1
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Third
4982
#21
12.60.4
11.311.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End3.9
blue by 2.1
6956
#25
14.70.3
11.111.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsEarned