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Red26
355916.7
427222.0
164618.4
Blue36
21719.4
386513.2
172020.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45410102030506070802636

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.9
18.716.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End4.4
red by 1.7
20.20.3
16.816.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End5.8
Second
1646
#17
18.41.9
12.810.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End2.1
red by 5.2
3865
#30
13.20.3
9.28.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Third
3559
#14
16.71.9
11.49.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End3.9
red by 7.3
2171
#33
9.40.3
12.812.5
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed