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Red57
155511.1
15299.9
13527.0
Blue66
394719.9
393612.3
23427.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454740505560655766

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#2
27.00.2
22.122.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End8.8
blue by 0.5
234
#1
27.52.0
19.121.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End7.1
Second
1555
#38
11.10.2
8.08.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 8.8
3947
#11
19.92.0
13.815.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End5.0
Third
1529
#36
9.90.2
13.013.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.5
End1.9
blue by 2.5
3936
#32
12.32.0
11.713.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsEarned