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Red0
13529.5
7127.7
540217.5
Blue82
101818.1
492620.9
501021.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806202040100082

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#7DQ
29.50.1
29.929.8
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End7.1
red by 7.8
5010
#15
21.70.4
21.021.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Second
71
#2DQ
27.70.1
28.128.0
Auto3.4
Teleop15.9
End8.4
red by 6.8
20.90.4
20.320.7
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End5.7
Third
5402
#22DQ
17.50.1
17.917.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
blue by 0.7
1018
#12
18.10.4
17.518.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End3.4