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Red81
13529.5
7127.7
540217.5
Blue68
101818.1
492620.9
501021.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806420401008168

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#7
29.50.1
29.829.9
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End7.1
red by 7.8
5010
#15
21.70.2
21.521.7
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Second
71
#2
27.70.1
28.028.1
Auto3.4
Teleop15.9
End8.4
red by 6.8
20.90.2
20.720.9
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End5.7
Third
5402
#22
17.50.1
17.817.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
blue by 0.7
1018
#12
18.10.2
18.018.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End3.4