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Red72
86825.7
410325.0
761715.6
Blue56
448514.7
765715.6
164622.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535230406070807256

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
25.72.4
18.520.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End6.7
red by 3.2
1646
#23
22.40.2
19.018.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Second
25.01.5
20.822.2
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End4.4
red by 9.4
7657
#39
15.60.2
14.314.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.1
End3.2
Third
7617
#21
15.62.4
11.013.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End5.0
red by 0.9
4485
#34
14.70.3
15.815.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed