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Red54
540217.5
217113.1
349418.4
Blue44
518817.0
745724.8
695619.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43390102030506070805444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#13
18.40.3
17.617.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End4.9
blue by 6.4
24.80.8
11.011.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Second
5402
#22
17.50.5
13.113.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
blue by 2.5
6956
#20
19.90.5
13.313.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End3.8
Third
2171
#33
13.10.3
9.710.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 3.8
5188
#25
17.00.8
12.813.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed