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Red40
219718.4
314713.4
46126.4
Blue41
745420.6
645120.0
501021.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5552204060801004041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#11
26.40.8
20.519.7
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 4.7
5010
#15
21.70.9
14.313.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Second
2197
#19
18.40.8
15.514.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End4.9
blue by 2.2
7454
#18
20.60.6
20.119.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End3.0
Third
3147
#26
13.40.8
15.614.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End5.3
blue by 6.5
6451
#17
20.00.9
15.014.1
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed