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Red59
46126.4
498216.2
540217.5
Blue50
427225.7
400812.0
290914.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048303540455560655950

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#11
26.40.8
19.720.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 0.7
25.70.0
23.023.0
Auto5.5
Teleop16.5
End3.6
Second
5402
#22
17.51.4
13.615.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
red by 3.2
2909
#32
14.30.0
12.612.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End2.9
Third
4982
#31
16.20.8
13.113.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.3
End3.6
red by 4.1
4008
#35
12.00.0
11.511.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed