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Red49
695619.9
348720.6
393613.3
Blue64
349418.4
101818.1
174724.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45602040801004964

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#24
20.60.8
16.517.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.3
End3.0
blue by 3.8
1747
#14
24.40.3
22.022.3
Auto3.0
Teleop19.0
End2.4
Second
6956
#20
19.90.5
13.814.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End3.8
red by 1.6
3494
#13
18.40.3
17.918.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End4.9
Third
3936
#28
13.30.5
12.012.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 4.8
1018
#12
18.10.3
17.017.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed