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Red40
386513.2
745420.6
74779.5
Blue49
393613.3
498216.2
7127.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47532030406070804049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7454
#18
20.60.5
20.620.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End3.0
blue by 7.1
71
#2
27.70.1
24.824.8
Auto3.4
Teleop15.9
End8.4
Second
3865
#38
13.20.5
13.212.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.4
blue by 3.0
4982
#31
16.20.1
12.612.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.3
End3.6
Third
7477
#37
9.50.5
10.49.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 3.9
3936
#28
13.30.1
12.312.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsMissed