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Red67
314713.4
427225.7
410325.0
Blue56
172027.3
719819.5
761715.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615020304070806756

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.4
22.022.4
Auto5.5
Teleop16.5
End3.6
blue by 1.6
27.30.6
20.220.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End8.5
Second
25.00.4
20.320.8
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End4.4
red by 5.5
7198
#30
19.50.6
17.417.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End5.9
Third
3147
#26
13.40.4
15.215.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End5.3
blue by 2.1
7617
#21
15.68.1
19.111.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned64%HAB Docking oddsEarned