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Red58
561422.7
307517.6
331619.5
Blue60
703922.9
333919.5
193726.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607820401001205860

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.1
18.919.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End4.2
blue by 4.2
26.90.9
27.026.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.0
End7.7
Second
3316
#20
19.50.1
19.119.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End4.0
blue by 3.5
7039
#10
22.90.9
22.421.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End6.0
Third
3075
#18
17.60.1
18.618.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End3.7
blue by 1.9
3339
#16
19.50.9
24.923.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsMissed98%HAB Docking oddsMissed