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Red50
157429.8
3211B12.0
321119.3
Blue45
99969.3
157727.5
194220.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64562040801005045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.7
28.427.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.4
End4.1
red by 2.3
1577
#11
27.50.5
30.930.4
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End7.3
Second
3211
#17
19.30.7
21.721.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End5.0
blue by 0.7
1942
#12
20.00.5
17.116.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End6.2
Third
12.01.2
10.99.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.5
End2.7
red by 2.7
9996
#22
9.30.5
5.24.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
16%Rocket oddsMissed21%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsMissed