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Red79
223131.5
157429.8
706712.6
Blue56
333919.5
321119.3
221219.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6865506080907956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.0
27.928.9
Auto9.3
Teleop16.0
End6.3
red by 12.0
3339
#16
19.50.4
21.020.6
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End5.3
Second
29.81.0
26.027.0
Auto7.2
Teleop18.4
End4.1
red by 10.4
2212
#23
19.40.4
19.619.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End2.8
Third
7067
#13
12.61.0
10.511.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End2.1
blue by 6.7
3211
#17
19.30.4
21.521.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned