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Red89
194220.0
209627.4
3339B26.6
Blue77
458620.4
194319.7
1690B32.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7067506080908977

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.41.5
25.527.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7
blue by 5.4
32.80.3
26.026.4
Auto8.0
Teleop18.1
End6.6
Second
26.62.5
24.226.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End7.3
red by 6.2
4586
#26
20.40.2
19.619.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End4.3
Third
1942
#12
20.01.5
16.818.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End6.2
red by 0.3
1943
#14
19.70.2
18.218.4
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed18%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsMissed