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Red86
307523.9
433827.5
599014.6
Blue0
333919.5
673820.3
555423.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7067020406080100860

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End9.5
red by 4.0
5554
#13DQ
23.50.1
23.623.7
Auto3.4
Teleop15.6
End4.5
Second
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End5.8
red by 3.6
6738
#8DQ
20.30.1
20.420.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End5.7
Third
5990
#25
14.60.0
14.514.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End3.5
blue by 4.9
3339
#38DQ
19.50.1
19.619.7
Auto2.8
Teleop9.4
End7.3