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Red74
307523.9
433827.5
599014.6
Blue65
333919.5
673820.3
555423.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70674060801007465

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End9.5
red by 4.0
5554
#13
23.50.2
23.723.5
Auto3.4
Teleop15.6
End4.5
Second
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End5.8
red by 3.6
20.30.2
20.420.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End5.7
Third
5990
#25
14.60.0
14.514.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End3.5
blue by 4.9
3339
#38
19.50.2
19.719.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.4
End7.3