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Red88
169030.7
157727.7
306518.3
Blue62
338819.3
303420.4
263023.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826740601001208862

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.2
31.131.3
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End7.7
red by 7.3
2630
#36
23.40.1
23.523.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.7
End4.5
Second
27.70.2
28.028.2
Auto3.6
Teleop15.7
End8.3
red by 7.3
3034
#16
20.40.1
20.520.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End4.4
Third
3065
#17
18.30.2
18.718.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End5.1
blue by 0.9
3388
#20
19.30.1
19.419.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End4.9