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Red79
169030.7
157727.7
306518.3
Blue0
307523.9
433827.5
599014.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83710204060100120790

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.0
31.331.3
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End7.7
red by 3.2
4338
#5DQ
27.50.4
27.927.6
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End9.5
Second
27.70.0
28.228.2
Auto3.6
Teleop15.7
End8.3
red by 3.7
3075
#6DQ
23.90.4
24.323.9
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End5.8
Third
3065
#17
18.30.0
18.918.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End5.1
red by 3.8
5990
#25DQ
14.60.4
15.014.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End3.5