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Red57
221219.4
478412.4
267918.7
Blue47
331619.7
157312.9
75549.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5040102030607080905747

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#19
19.40.3
18.518.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.7
End1.6
blue by 0.3
3316
#37
19.70.6
21.321.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End4.5
Second
2679
#31
18.70.3
18.919.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.3
End3.2
red by 5.9
1573
#44
12.90.6
10.210.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End2.5
Third
4784
#12
12.40.3
9.710.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End3.4
red by 3.1
7554
#45
9.30.6
6.87.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed