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Red89
555423.5
306518.3
169030.7
Blue71
458624.4
307523.9
157612.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7154204060801008971

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.9
26.227.1
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End7.7
red by 6.3
4586
#15
24.40.7
21.422.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.7
End5.2
Second
5554
#13
23.50.9
22.523.3
Auto3.4
Teleop15.6
End4.5
blue by 0.4
23.90.7
18.018.6
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End5.8
Third
3065
#17
18.30.9
18.519.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End5.1
red by 5.7
1576
#39
12.60.7
11.912.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsEarned45%HAB Docking oddsEarned