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Red83
321123.2
595123.5
474423.6
Blue60
157612.6
561418.0
610421.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6455304050607080901008360

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4744
#27
23.61.5
20.321.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End3.6
red by 1.9
6104
#11
21.60.5
20.621.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.6
Second
5951
#23
23.51.5
21.923.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End5.5
red by 5.5
5614
#34
18.00.5
18.719.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Third
23.21.5
18.820.2
Auto3.0
Teleop13.2
End7.0
red by 10.6
1576
#39
12.60.5
12.813.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned40%HAB Docking oddsEarned