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Red51
303420.4
478412.4
503820.8
Blue64
306518.3
703920.5
165715.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516002040801005164

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5038
#30
20.80.2
17.317.5
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End6.2
red by 0.4
20.50.1
20.220.1
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Second
3034
#16
20.40.2
18.718.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End4.4
red by 2.0
3065
#17
18.30.1
22.021.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End5.1
Third
4784
#12
12.40.2
12.612.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End3.4
blue by 3.6
1657
#24
15.90.1
14.414.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned53%HAB Docking oddsEarned