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Red78
157727.7
209620.9
565414.2
Blue59
595123.5
75549.3
503820.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61512040801007859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.6
25.225.8
Auto3.6
Teleop15.7
End8.3
red by 4.1
5951
#23
23.50.7
23.424.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End5.5
Second
20.90.6
20.120.7
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End2.9
Level
5038
#30
20.80.7
17.518.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End6.2
Third
5654
#28
14.20.5
12.412.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End3.7
red by 4.9
7554
#45
9.30.7
7.17.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsEarned