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Red46
561418.0
711212.3
674013.9
Blue41
157419.8
157612.6
717717.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425820804641

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#34
18.00.4
19.219.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
blue by 1.8
1574
#10
19.80.9
19.318.3
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End5.1
Second
6740
#35
13.90.4
12.312.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End1.8
blue by 3.9
7177
#40
17.70.9
22.621.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End4.7
Third
7112
#42
12.30.4
7.98.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End2.9
blue by 0.3
1576
#39
12.60.9
13.312.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed72%HAB Docking oddsMissed