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Red81
75549.3
157727.7
303420.4
Blue76
474423.6
610421.6
193725.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5571204060801008176

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.9
26.928.8
Auto3.6
Teleop15.7
End8.3
red by 1.8
25.80.0
24.024.0
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End8.1
Second
3034
#16
20.41.9
17.719.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End4.4
blue by 3.2
4744
#27
23.60.0
22.622.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End3.6
Third
7554
#45
9.31.9
7.39.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End2.0
blue by 12.4
6104
#11
21.60.0
20.420.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
18%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned52%HAB Docking oddsEarned