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Red48
784518.7
306518.3
331619.7
Blue74
433827.5
165715.9
561418.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62662040801004874

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#37
19.71.4
20.419.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End4.5
blue by 7.8
27.50.2
29.229.0
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End9.5
Second
7845
#29
18.71.4
18.717.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.6
End4.2
red by 0.7
5614
#34
18.00.2
19.118.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Third
3065
#17
18.31.4
19.418.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End5.1
red by 2.4
1657
#24
15.90.2
14.013.8
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed67%HAB Docking oddsEarned