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Red38
263023.4
157612.6
513512.2
Blue70
223017.3
157419.8
703920.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50602040801003870

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#36
23.40.6
23.122.5
Auto3.3
Teleop15.7
End4.5
red by 2.9
20.50.7
21.021.7
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Second
1576
#39
12.60.6
12.912.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End5.0
blue by 7.2
1574
#10
19.80.7
18.319.0
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End5.1
Third
5135
#43
12.20.6
11.010.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 5.2
2230
#33
17.30.7
17.618.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsMissed85%HAB Docking oddsEarned