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Red45
563518.1
478412.4
307523.9
Blue44
598714.2
565414.2
267918.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58532040804544

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.7
22.622.0
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End5.8
red by 5.2
2679
#31
18.70.4
20.019.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.3
End3.2
Second
5635
#21
18.10.7
20.319.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End5.4
red by 3.8
5987
#41
14.20.4
16.315.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End3.7
Third
4784
#12
12.40.7
12.311.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End3.4
blue by 1.8
5654
#28
14.20.4
13.913.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned43%HAB Docking oddsMissed