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Red66
165715.9
307523.9
503820.8
Blue57
599014.6
221219.4
561418.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63572040801006657

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.4
24.024.4
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End5.8
red by 4.5
2212
#19
19.40.6
20.019.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Second
5038
#30
20.80.4
20.420.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End6.2
red by 2.8
5614
#34
18.00.6
18.618.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Third
1657
#24
15.90.4
15.515.9
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End3.4
red by 1.3
5990
#25
14.60.6
15.715.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed