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Red53
703920.5
717717.7
157312.9
Blue70
433827.5
784518.7
169030.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578220401001205370

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.1
22.422.3
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End6.1
blue by 10.2
30.70.5
30.830.3
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End7.7
Second
7177
#40
17.70.1
19.219.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End4.7
blue by 9.8
27.50.5
29.028.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End9.5
Third
1573
#44
12.90.1
12.212.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End2.5
blue by 5.9
7845
#29
18.70.5
18.017.5
Auto6.0
Teleop8.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed96%HAB Docking oddsEarned