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Red53
157719.5
674113.5
306513.8
Blue15
529114.4
47845.1
44165.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43331020405060705315

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.7
16.917.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End6.3
red by 5.2
5291
#11
14.41.8
12.610.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End3.5
Second
13.80.7
12.012.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End3.8
red by 8.4
4416
#30
5.31.8
8.16.4
Auto3.0
Teleop0.6
End1.7
Third
6741
#12
13.50.7
12.112.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End3.5
red by 8.4
4784
#20
5.11.8
10.18.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed