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Red53
157419.9
303413.9
15738.8
Blue35
51359.8
563610.8
193720.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372810204050605335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.9
14.915.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.9
End6.9
blue by 0.9
20.80.9
13.114.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End8.5
Second
13.90.9
13.114.0
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End3.8
red by 3.1
5636
#22
10.80.9
7.78.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
Third
1573
#21
8.80.9
6.77.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.6
blue by 1.0
5135
#17
9.80.9
5.86.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed