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Red32
433823.7
71125.0
75544.2
Blue30
165713.4
303413.9
47845.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35350102030405060703230

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.3
23.723.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End7.5
red by 9.9
13.90.2
13.613.3
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End3.8
Second
7112
#29
5.00.3
5.14.7
Auto1.2
Teleop1.6
End2.2
blue by 8.4
1657
#18
13.40.2
13.813.6
Auto5.8
Teleop3.8
End3.7
Third
7554
#25
4.20.3
4.54.2
Auto1.0
Teleop1.5
End1.7
blue by 1.0
4784
#20
5.10.2
5.45.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed