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Red43
44165.3
321112.1
157719.5
Blue66
193720.8
67408.5
574711.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373735404550604366

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.7
18.919.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End6.3
blue by 1.3
20.81.3
17.618.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End8.5
Second
3211
#15
12.10.7
11.312.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.4
red by 0.6
5747
#13
11.51.2
10.511.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Third
4416
#30
5.30.7
4.75.3
Auto3.0
Teleop0.6
End1.7
blue by 3.2
6740
#27
8.51.3
6.78.0
Auto4.0
Teleop1.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned38%HAB Docking oddsEarned