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Red70
307515.5
333921.9
599014.7
Blue26
263015.7
331618.0
157310.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5449204060801007026

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.3
21.621.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End8.2
red by 3.8
18.00.5
18.818.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End4.0
Second
15.50.3
15.315.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End3.5
blue by 0.3
2630
#22
15.70.5
16.415.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End2.8
Third
5990
#31
14.70.3
14.514.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
red by 4.5
1573
#20
10.20.4
10.810.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3