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Red53
458616.6
503816.1
308314.8
Blue75
610419.3
565411.7
209613.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504910203040607080905375

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#28
16.60.1
16.516.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End0.8
blue by 2.7
19.30.1
19.719.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Second
16.10.1
16.016.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.0
End3.3
red by 2.3
2096
#13
13.80.1
14.214.1
Auto5.8
Teleop4.8
End3.2
Third
3083
#24
14.80.1
14.614.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
red by 3.1
11.70.1
12.112.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End4.4