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Red47
338815.2
47849.7
383516.5
Blue53
563514.9
673613.8
432014.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434602060804753

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3835
#25
16.50.1
16.516.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End4.5
red by 1.6
5635
#11
14.90.2
15.015.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End6.5
Second
3388
#17
15.20.1
15.115.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.7
red by 0.3
4320
#27
14.90.2
15.015.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.9
End2.9
Third
9.70.1
9.69.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End2.6
blue by 4.1
13.80.1
13.914.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End4.2