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Red67
263015.7
331618.0
157310.2
Blue44
610419.3
565411.7
209613.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47482030406070806744

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.6
18.218.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End4.0
blue by 1.3
19.30.0
19.619.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Second
2630
#22
15.70.6
15.916.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End2.8
red by 1.9
2096
#13
13.80.0
14.114.1
Auto5.8
Teleop4.8
End3.2
Third
1573
#20
10.20.5
10.410.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
blue by 1.5
11.70.0
12.012.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End4.4