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Red30
565411.7
209613.8
157310.2
Blue15
19549.2
431911.0
599014.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393310203050603015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#13
13.80.8
13.813.0
Auto5.8
Teleop4.8
End3.2
blue by 0.9
5990
#31
14.71.8
13.211.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Second
11.70.8
15.514.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End4.4
red by 0.7
4319
#15
11.01.1
7.56.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End3.1
Third
1573
#20
10.20.5
7.97.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
red by 1.0
1954
#26
9.21.8
10.48.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed