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Red46
223117.8
308314.8
623010.1
Blue45
592814.2
673817.3
784515.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383836404244464645

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#10
17.81.1
11.913.0
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 0.5
6738
#12
17.31.0
13.314.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
Second
3083
#24
14.81.1
14.916.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
blue by 0.3
7845
#33
15.11.0
9.710.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Third
6230
#32
10.11.1
9.610.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.5
blue by 4.0
5928
#19
14.21.0
13.014.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed