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Red64
458616.6
529117.6
610419.3
Blue32
157310.2
563514.9
308314.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453820305060706432

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.31.0
14.615.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End3.3
red by 4.4
5635
#11
14.90.5
14.113.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End6.5
Second
17.60.7
14.415.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End3.8
red by 2.8
3083
#24
14.80.5
13.413.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Third
4586
#28
16.61.0
13.915.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End0.8
red by 6.4
1573
#20
10.20.3
8.88.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed