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Red17
223117.8
571511.3
707918.5
Blue44
565411.7
673613.8
432014.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4541203050601744

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7079
#14DQ
18.53.2
14.811.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End4.6
red by 3.6
4320
#27
14.90.4
13.613.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.9
End2.9
Second
2231
#10
17.83.2
15.011.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 4.0
13.80.3
10.09.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End4.2
Third
5715
#29DQ
11.33.2
13.09.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End1.2
blue by 0.5
11.70.4
15.414.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed