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Red38
707918.5
19549.2
529117.6
Blue43
592814.2
599014.7
432014.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424325303540455055603843

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7079
#14DQ
18.50.6
15.915.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End4.6
red by 3.6
4320
#27
14.90.0
13.713.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.9
End2.9
Second
17.60.4
16.015.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End3.8
red by 2.9
5990
#31
14.70.0
12.312.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Third
1954
#26
9.20.6
8.78.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 4.9
5928
#19
14.20.0
13.913.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed