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Red43
458616.6
194320.2
308314.8
Blue54
595117.6
223117.8
610419.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54553040506070804354

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1943
#23
20.20.9
18.818.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End6.2
red by 0.9
19.30.1
21.521.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Second
4586
#28
16.60.9
15.414.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End0.8
blue by 1.1
2231
#10
17.80.1
15.915.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Third
3083
#24
14.80.9
16.515.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
blue by 2.8
5951
#21
17.60.1
14.814.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed