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Red49
565411.7
194213.9
673817.3
Blue30
563514.9
474416.0
432014.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454530354050554930

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#12
17.30.7
15.015.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
red by 1.4
4744
#30
16.01.4
15.614.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Second
1942
#16
13.90.7
13.914.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.5
End5.0
blue by 1.0
5635
#11
14.91.4
12.911.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End6.5
Third
11.70.7
13.914.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End4.4
blue by 3.1
4320
#27
14.91.4
13.712.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed