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Red41
784515.1
610419.3
19549.2
Blue49
673817.3
529117.6
571511.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4846102030406070804149

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.8
21.420.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End3.3
red by 1.7
17.60.2
16.616.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End3.8
Second
7845
#33
15.10.8
14.013.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End2.4
blue by 2.2
6738
#12
17.30.3
16.216.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
Third
1954
#26
9.20.8
9.89.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 2.0
5715
#29
11.30.3
10.711.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed