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Red70
263015.7
194213.9
561415.6
Blue52
458616.6
592814.2
383516.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41441020305060707052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#22
15.73.0
12.515.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End2.8
blue by 0.9
4586
#28
16.61.1
17.418.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Second
5614
#18
15.63.0
14.417.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
blue by 0.9
3835
#25
16.51.1
12.113.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End4.5
Third
1942
#16
13.93.0
11.614.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.5
End5.0
blue by 0.3
5928
#19
14.21.2
12.213.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed