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Red47
194320.2
432014.9
209613.8
Blue58
563514.9
431911.0
331618.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43401020305060704758

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1943
#23
20.20.6
15.416.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End6.2
red by 2.1
18.00.9
17.518.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End4.0
Second
4320
#27
14.90.7
12.413.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.9
End2.9
blue by 0.1
5635
#11
14.90.8
11.712.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End6.5
Third
2096
#13
13.80.6
13.313.9
Auto5.8
Teleop4.8
End3.2
red by 2.8
4319
#15
11.00.5
8.79.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsEarned